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Situational awareness - November 5, 2018

Good Monday morning from Salt Lake City. 

Today is the last day to enter our 2018 midterm election challenge. Pick the winners and you could win a $50 Amazon gift cardhttp://bit.ly/2Ed4dhj

Executive summary: Utah's early voting numbers. Democrats favored to win control of the House on Tuesday, but it's not a done deal. Trump would lose the 2020 election to every potential female Democratic challenger.


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Today At Utah Policy

images/articles/Vote_By_Mail.jpgWho is voting early in Utah? The number of younger and infrequent voters is up significantly this year

More than half a million Utahns have already cast a ballot in the 2018 election. That number is up 182% over the same time during the 2014 midterm elections....
images/Shutterstock_article_photos/Utah_Ballot_Box_Edited.jpg'Political Insiders' make their predictions for Tuesday's elections

Our "Political Insiders" think the Mia Love/Ben McAdams race is going to be a nailbiter, while Mitt Romney should romp to an easy win on Tuesday....
images/Shutterstock_Icons/Guest_opinion_graphic_01.jpgGuest opinion: Protect Utahns and our economy, oppose a carbon tax

Utah has a long history of electing pro-consumer, pro-business conservatives to represent our state in Congress. Last year, thanks in part to the unanimous support of Utah's congressional delegation, historic tax reform passed, lifting the burden off Utah's business communit...
images/Resized_Mugshots/Christine_Cooke.jpgGuest opinion: Voting 101: What will Question 1 do for education funding?

Utahns are full steam ahead on voting. Many are filling out their ballots at home and trying to figure out the long list of propositions and amendments....
images/Resized_Mugshots/Dan_Jones.jpgLegendary Utah pollster Dan Jones passes away

It's with great sadness that we at UtahPolicy.com hear of the passing Friday of Dan Jones, the leading pollster in the Mountain West for many, many years....
images/Shutterstock_Logos/ElectionChallenge-500.jpgMonday is the last day to enter the UtahPolicy.com 2018 Election Challenge

Election day is upon us. Monday is the last day for you to enter our 2018 Election Challenge with a chance to win a $50 Amazon gift card....

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Deseret News

Pignanelli and Webb: Hedging our bets about Tuesday's elections

Chris Stewart: Continuing to fight for freedom and the pursuit of happiness

Shireen Ghorbani: Put the politics of kindness first

Editorial: Flawed Proposition 2 deserves a 'no' vote

Church leader sees confusion over medical marijuana initiative, urges Utahns to vote no

GOP candidates file lawsuit against Salt Lake County clerk

Utah House, Senate races to bring new faces but GOP still firmly in control

Proposition 2 and public safety: 2 police groups have concerns, but not all share their worry

Utah leaders, former students mourn passing of political icon Dan Jones

Will Utah be part of a 'blue wave?'

North Ogden mayor killed while deployed in Afghanistan

Utah has a shortage of primary care physicians. This task force is teaming up with IBM to fix it

This Utah city has one of the top-performing schools in the nation

Herbert: North Ogden mayor killed in Afghanistan was 'personification of love' for God, family, country

Salt Lake Tribune

Op-ed: Marijuana does not meet criteria for acceptable medical use

Op-ed: Holladay Quarter project presents a model of smart growth

Editorial: Don't suffer for nothing. Vote.

Will the special session on medical cannabis happen in mid-November? December? It all depends on whether Prop 2 passes.

Legendary Utah political pollster Dan Jones has died

Republican candidate for Salt Lake County clerk files a lawsuit against her opponent with election nearing

Candidate sues over Utah ballot wording she says suggests unaffiliated are unfit for office

Federal Elections Commission cites Utah congressional hopeful for failing to file financial disclosure

Celebrities Jennifer Lawrence and Ed Helms want Utahns to vote yes on Prop 4

Utah had touted ending homelessness for veterans years ago. Now the numbers are increasing

We fact checked claims made about medical marijuana leading up to the election

Utah County Commission sues Gov. Gary Herbert for refusing to appoint its nominees to the new UTA Board

Draper City Council initiates plan to restrict future expansion of mines


Ann Romney speaks to Utah County Republican Women group, urges them to vote (Daily Herald)

Utah County files lawsuit against Gov. Gary Herbert over UTA board nomination (Daily Herald)

Weber County Dems say House districting shortchanges them as voters weigh Prop 4 (Standard-Examiner)

Brent Taylor, who served as North Ogden mayor, killed in Afghanistan (Standard-Examiner)

Gov. Herbert lauds Brent Taylor's desire to serve after his death in Afghanistan (Standard-Examiner)

Taylor's family hit hard by his death in Afghanistan, but proud of his service (Standard-Examiner)

More than 6,000 voter ballots returned in Summit County so far (Park Record)

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The 2018 midterms are tomorrow. Here's the state of play with less than 24 hours before voters go to the polls:

  • Democrats are favored to win control of the House on Tuesday, but the outcome hinges on several close races, meaning the outcome is not a sure thing - https://cnn.it/2Qkuqfc

  • Early vote levels are skyrocketing across the country ahead of Tuesday's midterms - https://cnn.it/2QkIaqm

  • Democrats are consciously avoiding using the word "wave" when talking about their prospects on election day, but they are acknowledging that "the map is huge" for Democrats this year - http://bit.ly/2QkI3uW 

  • Republicans across the country are trying to duplicate President Trump's 2016 success by stoking racial animus - https://wapo.st/2QkNZUV 

  • Suburban House districts could be a big problem for the GOP on Tuesday, as several GOP strongholds are now in play - http://bit.ly/2Ql0D6f

  • The 2018 midterms will be America's costliest election ever - https://yhoo.it/2Qs3dqY

  • Voting rights advocates are worried about attempts to limit access to the polls in many states this year - https://wapo.st/2Qj5rsT 

  • Federal election officials have seen more than 160 attempts to hack into voter registration databases and election systems since August - http://bit.ly/2Ql0UGj

  • Tech firms are seeing evidence that the same bad actors are attempting to interfere in this year's elections - http://bit.ly/2Qj4Kjh 

  • Twitter deleted thousands of accounts that were posing as Democrats trying to spread false information to discourage people from voting - http://bit.ly/2Qpfr41

  • Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh will appear with President Trump during his final pre-election rally in Missouri Tuesday night. Just two weeks ago, Limbaugh was touting a baseless claim that several pipe bombs mailed to prominent Democrats and President Trump's critics was a "false flag" operation from Democrats designed to gin up support ahead of the midterm elections - http://bit.ly/2Qs2WUY 

  • Trump says Democrats will "blame Russia" if they do poorly on Tuesday - http://bit.ly/2QkBVDb

Monday's other political news:

  • President Trump would lose the 2020 election against every woman mentioned as a possible Democratic opponent according to a new survey - http://bit.ly/2Qillne

  • The Trump administration is set to reimpose all of the sanctions against Iran that had been lifted as part of the 2015 nuclear agreement - https://cnn.it/2Qkvpfo 

  • The White House is bracing for a massive exodus of staffers and Cabinet officials following Tuesday's midterms - https://wapo.st/2QgPJhT 

  • President Trump keeps falsely claiming that construction on his promised border wall is underway. His supporters are getting angry with anyone who points out that claim is not true - http://bit.ly/2Ql2sQD 

  • North Dakota Democrats ran a misleading Facebook ad designed to discourage hunters from voting - http://bit.ly/2QjRVFj

  • Michael Cohen, President Trump's former personal lawyer, says Trump repeatedly used racist language before he was elected. Cohen alleges Trump once said black people "are too stupid" to vote for him - http://bit.ly/2QkK7TI 

  • For years, American law enforcement failed to recognize the threat of violence posed by white nationalists. Now, they don't know how to stop it - https://nyti.ms/2Qm0G1x 

  • Representatives for billionaire Democratic donor George Soros says he wants to appear on Fox News, but the network won't book him. Soros has become a frequent target of right-wing conspiracy theories - https://cnn.it/2Qj7Nbd

  • Gas prices have dropped recently, but don't get too used to it as oil prices are set to rebound soon- https://cnn.it/2QqdKTW

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  • 1605 - Guy Fawkes and fellow conspirators attempted to blow up the English Parliament and failed. They were captured, tried and beheaded.

  • 1872 - In defiance of the law, suffragist Susan B. Anthony votes for the first time and is later fined $100.

  • 1916 - An armed confrontation in Everett, Washington between members of the Industrial Workers of the World and local police resulted in what's become known as the Everett Massacre.

  • 1979 - Iranian students seized control of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran, sparking a hostage crisis that would last 444 days and bring down the presidency of Jimmy Carter.

  • 2006 - Saddam Hussein, former president of Iraq, is sentenced to death for his role in the 1982 massacre of 148 Shi'a Muslims.

Policy News

images/Logos/New-GOED-Logo.pngU.S. Treasury releases proposed guidelines for Utah Opportunity Zones
The U.S. Treasury has released proposed guidelines for the Federal opportunity zones program, including Utah's 46 zones....

More National Headlines

A Kavanaugh Accuser Recants (Wall Street Journal)

FBI seeks info on woman identified as Democratic volunteer after Georgia voter system attacked (Washington Examiner)

In small town Kentucky, Trump supporters dig their heels in (Al Jazeera)

US troops lay down barbed wire along border ahead of caravan (New York Post)

Leading into Election Day, severe weather outbreak could bring possible tornadoes (ABC News)

Trump on false Kavanaugh accusation: 'How about the other ones?' (The Hill)

More than 4.5 million people vote early in Texas (The Hill)

A Test of Trump: Midterms Could Result in a Mixed Verdict (Wall Street Journal)

Big Brother Isn't Watching You (Wall Street Journal)

Why this Idaho chipmaker is suddenly at the center of the US-China trade war (CNN)

Tech Billionaires' Obligation to the Cities Around Them (Atlantic)

Wise Words


"In every day, there are 1,440 minutes. That means we have 1,440 daily opportunities to make a positive impact." Les Brown


Lighter Side

Justice Reform

"If this amendment passes, over 1.4 million ex-felons who have served their time will regain their right to vote. That is huge. And you know, I'll be honest, what's really great to see is that this is an issue that has bipartisan support: Democrats like that it's criminal justice reform; Republicans like it because it would let a lot of former Trump officials vote again." - TREVOR NOAH


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