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Situational awareness - November 6, 2018

Good Tuesday morning from Salt Lake City.

It's all over except the voting! It's Election Day. Get ready for a long, nervous day watching returns. The first polls close at 4 p.m. Mountain Time.

Executive summary: Utah legislative races to watch Tuesday. Legislative Republicans are set to pick Adams and Wilson to lead them for the next two years. What to watch for on election day.

  TICK TOCK   

  • The 2018 midterm elections are today (11/6/2018)

  • 83 days until the first day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (1/28/2019)

  • 128 days until the final day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (3/14/2019)

  • 209 days until the municipal election filing period opens (6/3/2019)

  • 213 days until the municipal election filing period ends (6/7/2019)

  • 280 days to the 2019 Utah primary elections (8/13/2019)

  • 364 days to the 2019 municipal elections (11/5/2019)

  • 454 days to the 2020 Iowa Caucuses (2/3/2020)

  • 728 days until the 2020 presidential election (11/3/2020)

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    Today At Utah Policy

    images/Shutterstock_Capitol_Photos/Utah_Capitol_19.jpgDown-ballot races to watch on Tuesday

    Most of the election day focus in Utah will be on the white-hot contest in the 4th Congressional District as Republican Mia Love tries to fight off a strong challenge from Democrat Ben McAdams. But, there are some legislative races further down the ballot worth keeping your ...
    images/Resized_Mugshots/Adams_Wilson_01.jpgAdams. Wilson set to lead Utah lawmakers for the next two years

    While Utahns, in general, will be looking at the results coming Tuesday night, there is another election this week that will have far-reaching impacts: The new Republican leaders in the state House and Senate....
    images/articles/20181105_Uncivil_War_Book.jpgPodcast: 'An Uncivil War'

    We speak with Washington Post columnist Greg Sargent about his new book An Uncivil War: Taking Back Our Democracy in an Age of Trumpian Disinformation and Thunderdome Politics....
    images/Resized_Logos/Utah_Thrives_Podcast_Logo.jpgUtah Thrives podcast: Quality of life, relationships, and suicide

    Every few years, Utah Foundation surveys Utahns about their quality of life....
    images/Logos/WTC--400x331.pngBueller... Bueller... Don't miss this chance to hear from Ben Stein at the Utah Global Forum on Nov. 8

    Ben Stein is the most famous economics teacher in history due to his iconic scene as the unenthusiastic economics teacher in "Ferris Bueller's Day Off."...
    images/Resized_Mugshots/Jared_Whitley_Pic_resized_03.jpgNo matter who loses today, will Trump win?

    Every two years, television pundits drill the idea that, "This is the most important election in American history since the last one!" But with 2018, this is the most, most important election since the last one....

    world trade center utah


      OTHER UTAH HEADLINES   

    Deseret News

    Editorial: The sacrifice for freedom requires but one thing from us

    Summit County voters receive mail-in ballots with return envelopes for San Juan County

    Judge tosses suit from GOP candidates over delayed Salt Lake County mail-in ballots

    Two of three UTA trustees sworn in; governor being sued over third

    Governor cites scripture to defend Democrat against religious freedom ad

    Utah teens meet on Capitol steps to share excitement about voting

    How do you get millennials to vote? These Utahns are devoting their retirement to answering that question

    Salt Lake Tribune

    Utah's latest land battle pits ranchers against not the feds but the state

    Landmark conservation plan for cherished Cottonwood canyons near Salt Lake City is almost done but minus a big name: Alta ski resort

    Justice Department will send a watchdog to monitor San Juan County's election

    Controversial campaign tactics take a religious turn on the eve of Election Day in Utah

    Judge throws out Republican Salt Lake County clerk candidate's last-minute lawsuit against her boss

    Hate daylight saving time change twice a year? One Utah lawmaker wants to let residents vote on it.

    As new restructured UTA board is sworn in, Gov. Gary Herbert calls for it to rebuild public trust

    Other

    North Ogden officials wrestle with Brent Taylor's death, who will lead the city (Standard-Examiner)


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      NATIONAL HEADLINES  

    Game on! It's Election Day in America. Here's the state of play as Americans vote.

    • Get ready for a long, nervous election day! Democrats are favored to win control of the House, while Republicans are expected to narrowly expand their majority in the Senate, but both of those outcomes are not for certain with dozens of close races across the country - https://wapo.st/2qrNVaC 

    • Latest forecasts:

      • FiveThirty Eight: An average gain of 39 House seats for Democrats, with a possible one-seat gain in the Senate for Republicans - https://53eig.ht/2QlIBRh

      • CNN: Democrats are most likely to win a 19-seat majority in the House, while Republicans are favored to have a four-seat majority in the Senate - https://cnn.it/2QlIUeT

      • Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Democrats favored to pick up at least 34 seats in the House, while Republicans are expected to gain one seat in the Senate - http://bit.ly/2QjuEDv

    • Here's an hour-by-hour breakdown of what to pay attention to as polls close across the country - https://nyti.ms/2qwd9on 

    • 11 places where the 2018 midterms will be won and lost Tuesday night - https://politi.co/2QjnyyY

    • The Democrats' slim hopes of grabbing control of the Senate may hinge on flipping seats in Nevada and Arizona - https://nyti.ms/2qvGP4I

    • Without any evidence, President Trump and Attorney General Jeff Sessions are warning about voter fraud in Tuesday's elections Voting rights advocates say the unfounded claims are an attempt to intimidate voters and reduce voting access for minority groups - https://wapo.st/2qwGlM0 

    • Political ad spending set a new record in 2018, with TV and radio spending around $3.27 billion and digital ad spending at $900 million - http://bit.ly/2QlOez1

    • The next session of Congress will be younger and more diverse, with more women than ever before - https://wapo.st/2qvL68r 

    • The final pre-election poll puts President Trump's approval rating at 39%, down from 41% last month. Democrats have jumped out to a 13-point lead in the generic congressional ballot - https://cnn.it/2qDQ7Mp 

    • After Donald Trump's surprise win in 2016, Democrats are paranoid they're going to blow it again on Tuesday night - http://bit.ly/2QrXDVX

    • Early voting this year in Texas has surpassed the entire voter turnout from the 2014 midterms - http://bit.ly/2qv87Z5

    Tuesday's other headlines:

    • Even Fox News stopped running the racially charged anti-immigration election commercial from President Trump's political team. The ad was also pulled by NBC, CNN and Facebook - https://nyti.ms/2qxoy7g 

    • Facebook booted 115 user accounts on Monday after U.S. authorities alerted them of suspicious behavior that could be linked to a foreign entity trying to influence Tuesday's midterms - https://reut.rs/2QlHVLJ

    • Wonder why there's so much dysfunction in Washington? According to a new study, Congress has largely stopped doing its job, largely because of the hyperpolarized environment  that began in 2008 following the election of Barack Obama - https://wapo.st/2qvFQl2

    • Trump administration officials are worried that special counsel Robert Mueller may deliver the results of his investigation as soon as Wednesday. Several say they're worried that Donald Trump Jr. may have perjured himself during the investigation - http://bit.ly/2qvFCKI 

    • President Trump's move to deploy troops to the U.S.-Mexico border will cost $220 million. Meanwhile, Pentagon officials say they see no threat from the migrant caravan currently in Mexico - https://cnb.cx/2qvwRjT 

    • President Trump says he will "probably not" meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Paris next week, but the two would likely meet at the G20 summit in Argentina later this year - http://bit.ly/2quHvrh 

    • Newly released emails suggest Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke continued to work on issues related to his Montana land holdings in 2017, despite pledging to recuse himself from such matters for a year - https://wapo.st/2Qi5FjU

    • Embattled Iowa Republican Rep. Steve King said during a campaign stop that he hopes Supreme Court Justices Elana Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor "will elope to Cuba" - https://wapo.st/2qwGRcU 

    • LinkedIn has become the new home to hyperpartisan political content after crackdowns by Facebook and Twitter - http://bit.ly/2QneN6O

    • American businesses paid $4.4 billion in tariffs in September, a jump of 50% from the same month a year ago - https://cnb.cx/2quHPpJ 

    • Soybean sales to China have fallen by 94% because of the trade war with China - https://nyti.ms/2QlPxOr

    • The Supreme Court refused to hear an appeal of a lower court ruling that upheld Obama-era net neutrality rules - https://reut.rs/2QnOPAe

    • Financial penalties against banks and big companies accused of misconduct have declined sharply during the Trump administration - https://nyti.ms/2qv8e6X 

    • Astronomers from Harvard University say a mysterious cigar-shaped object that cruised through our solar system last year may have been an alien space probe sent to investigate Earth - https://cnn.it/2Qnwzad

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      ON THIS DAY IN HISTORY  

    • 1860 - Abraham Lincoln is elected as the 16th President.

    • 1861 - Jefferson Davis is elected president of the Confederate States of America.

    • 1869 - Rutgers College defeats Princeton University 6-4 in the first official intercollegiate football game.

    • 1947 - Meet the Press, the longest running television program in history, debuts.

    Policy News

    Cicero Group recognized by Consulting Magazine among fastest growing firms
    Cicero Group is one of the fastest growing consulting firms in North America....
    images/Logos/New-GOED-Logo.pngU.S. Treasury releases proposed guidelines for Utah Opportunity Zones
    The U.S. Treasury has released proposed guidelines for the Federal opportunity zones program, including Utah's 46 zones....

    More National Headlines

    Obama closes out campaign by talking about himself 89 times during Chicago appearance (American Mirror)

    Kavanaugh report's biggest bombshells: Grassley probe reveals details behind mistaken identity claims, more (FOX News)

    Florida Could Restore Voting Rights to 1.5 Million Convicted Felons on Tuesday (Daily Beast)

    Subway terror suspect planned to maim and kill during rush hour (NBC News)

    10 years after Obama's election, how identity has come to define American politics (Washington Post)

    Maine governor says he's moving to Florida (The Hill)

    DOJ to monitor voting in 19 states (The Hill)

    State of the Midterms: Sinema, McSally trade lead in final charge to Election Day (FOX News)

    Kyrsten Sinema Wants You To Know She's Not A Progressive (HuffPost)

    Trump administration asks Supreme Court to hear DACA case ahead of appeals courts (The Hill)

    Trump says administration is looking into antitrust violations by Amazon, other tech giants (CNBC)


    Wise Words

    Respect

    "This world of ours... must avoid becoming a community of dreadful fear and hate, and be, instead, a proud confederation of mutual trust and respect." Dwight D. Eisenhower

     

    Lighter Side

    Tell the Truth

    "When asked in an interview yesterday if he's always truthful, President Trump responded, quote, 'I do try, and I always want to tell the truth. When I can, I tell the truth.' Wow. I mean, it's hard to believe that in a couple hundred years America went from 'I cannot tell a lie' to 'Eh, let's see how I feel.'" -SETH MEYERS

     


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