Karl Rove says, right now, Barack Obama is in position to win another term in the White House.
Karl Rove and Co. released their first Electoral College map. they find Barack Obama with 220 solid votes, with another 64 votes leaning towards him. Mitt Romney has only 93 solid electoral votes, with another 79 leaning his way. There are only 82 votes Rove sees as a toss-up It takes 270 electoral votes to win.
Here's the map:
Business Insider notes that even if Romney wins Iowa, Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Florida, he still wouldn't win.
Basically, the election comes down to 4 states. Romney needs to win Florida and either Michigan, Ohio or Pennsylvania.