Republicans, Democrats and our readers overwhelmingly think the battle for the GOP nomination for Salt Lake County Mayor will go to a primary election, with Mike Winder and Richard Snelgrove being the favorites to face off in that contest.
On the Democratic side, most Democrats and half of Republicans expect Ben McAdams to win the Democratic nomination at convention.
| There are six Republican candidates for Salt Lake County Mayor. What do you think is the most likely outcome from the Salt Lake County Republican convention? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican insiders | Democratic insiders | UtahPolicy.com readers | |
| Merrill Cook wins the nomination outright | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Mark Crockett wins the nomination outright | 2% | 4% | 5% |
| Larry Decker wins the nomination outright | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| Gary Ott wins the nomination outright | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Richard Snelgrove wins the nomination outright | 5% | 11% | 9% |
| Mike Winder wins the nomination outright | 12% | 0% | 16% |
| The nomination will go to a primary election | 81% | 77% | 67% |
Some anonymous comments:
"I'm enjoying the image of the battle of the dairy boys--Snelgrove and Winder--in a primary. So very wholesome."
"Winder will be haunted by the ghost of Richard Burwash."
"(Winder) may not be the best candidate, but his name recognition is a lot higher and he's a smooth-talker."
"There are a number of reasonable candidates in the race. So unless one of those guys has $4 million to spend and Dave Hansen as a campaign manager, I think it's going to a primary."
| If the GOP race for Salt Lake County Mayor goes to a primary, who are the two likeliest candidates to advance? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican insiders | Democratic insiders | UtahPolicy.com readers | |
| Merrill Cook | 2% | 15% | 11% |
| Mark Crockett | 48% | 35% | 26% |
| Larry Decker | 0% | 4% | 11% |
| Gary Ott | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| Richard Snelgrove | 61% | 69% | 63% |
| Mike Winder | 82% | 65% | 78% |
Some anonymous comments:
"As much as Merrill Cook would love to go 2 for 50 at winning an office, I don't think Salt Lake will see that happen."
"Cook and Decker don't have a chance. They are just wasting everyone's time."
"Richard Burwash will be a write-in, I gather."
| What do you think is the most likely outcome from the Salt Lake County Democratic convention? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican insiders | Democratic insiders | UtahPolicy.com readers | |
| Ben McAdams wins the nomination outright | 46% | 56% | 44% |
| Ross Romero wins the nomination outright | 4% | 4% | 33% |
| The nomination will go to a primary election | 50% | 41% | 23% |
Some anonymous comments:
"McAdams has too much star power. Sorry Ross."
"This is the dumbest thing the Dems have done in a long time. It reminds me of the Rocky Anderson primary for Congress."
"McAdams is more electable, but either candidate will have a hard time this year with Romney at the top of the Utah/Salt Lake County ticket."
"It is possible Ben McAdams could win it outright, but that would be quite an accomplishment against Ross Romero."
"It will go to a primary but Ben McAdams is really appealing to both Democrats and Republicans. He'll be tough to beat."
"Romero is the past. McAdams is the future."
"Ross Romero has never been well liked at the legislature and his message is not exciting. Ben brings enthusiasm to the nomination and will win at convention."
"Finally, the Democrats have two good candidates in one race. Normally they can't even get one good candidate. It will be great to see them duke it out inside their party like the Republicans normally do."
Respondents include -
Fred Adams, Stuart Adams, Jess Agraz, Scott Anderson, Patrice Arent, Bruce Baird, Tom Barberi, Heather Barney, Steve Barth, Jeff Bell, Tom Berggren, Mike Bertelsen, Ron Bigelow, Rob Bishop, Laura Black, Jim Bradley, Ralph Brown, Ken Bullock, Chris Bleak, Curt Bramble, Ralph Brown, Aaron Browning, Dave Buhler, Ken Bullock, Ric Cantrell, Maura Carabello, Rebecca Chavez-Houck, Kay Christensen, David Clark, Thomas Clay, Peter Corroon, Fred Cox, Lew Cramer, Gene Davis, Richard Davis, Brad Daw, Alan Dayton, Margaret Dayton, Mike Deaver, Brad, Dee, Joseph Demma, John Dougall, Randy Dryer, Donald Dunn, Becky Edwards, Scott Ericson, Jessica Fawson, Janice Fisher, Wendy Fisher, Lorie Fowlke, Ronald Fox, Adam Gardiner, Jordan Garn, Luke Garrott, Dave Gessel, Natalie Gochnour, Robert Grow, Karen Hale, David Hansen, Neil Hansen, Joe Hatch, Jeff Hartley, Deidre Henderson, Lyle Hillyard, Randy Horiuchi, Ben Horsley, Bruce Hough, Scott Howell, Miriam Hyde, Allison Isom, Eric Jergensen, Mike Jerman, Roger Johnson, Michael Jolley, Gordon Jones, Leslie Jones, Kirk Jowers, Brian King, Scott Konopasek, Chris Kyler, Fred Lampropoulos, Douglas Larson, David Litvack, Larry Lunt, Matt Lyon, Ben McAdams, Gayle McKeachnie, JT Martin, Jason Mathis, Karen Mayne, Derek Miller, Rob Miller, Ethan Millard, Brett Millburn, Karen Morgan, Mike Mower, Holly Mullen, Wayne Niederhauser, Mike Noel, Ralph Okerlund, James Olsen, Val Oveson, Scott Parson, Kelly Patterson, Frank Pignanelli, Jason Powers, Joe Pyrah, Mike Reberg, Jill Remington Love, Lauren Richards, Holly Richardson, Robin Riggs, James Roberts, Luz Robles, Ross Romero, Don Savage, Bryan Schott, Jay Seegmiller, Patrick Shea, Randy Shumway, Soren Simonsen, Jeremy Slaughter, Carol Spackman-Moss, Howard Stephenson, Mike Styler, Todd Taylor, Juliette Tennert, Gary Thorup, Kevin Van Tassell, Royce Van Tassel, Michael Waddoups, Chuck Warren, Christine Watkins, LaVarr Webb, Todd Weiler, Alan West, Ted Wilson, Carl Wimmer, Mike Winder, Thomas Wright
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