Bryan Schott's Political BS - 100 Predictions for November 6
by Bryan Schott
10/30/2012 | 2159 views | 0 0 comments | 4 4 recommendations | email to a friend | print
With one week to go until the election, I take a stab at trying to predict the outcome of every major race in Utah. That's 100 predictions in one column.

I based my predictions on the data available, the opinons of a number of veteran political observers and my own gut feeling. If a race is expected to be close, I generally assumed the higher turnout because of Mitt Romney's presence on the ballot would favor the Republican candidate.

Some highlights:

--Republicans win all the statewide races, including U.S. Senate.

--Mia Love will benefit from Mitt Romney’s presence on the ticket, beating Jim Matheson in a close race.

--Ben McAdams wins a very close race for Salt Lake County Mayor. I’m thinking he gets the victory by less than 1,500 votes.

--Luz Robles gets the lone Democratic win in the Senate, dropping their numbers to just 5 in that body.

--Increased Republican turnout will claim Democrats Carol Spackman Moss, Janice Fisher and Marie Poulson. Tim Cosgrove and Patrice Arent will barely survive strong challenges in their re-election bids. I don’t forsee any Republican pickups. Democrats will drop to just 12 seats in the House.

Here are my full predictions.

Bryan Schott's 2012 Election Predictions




Inside little league football:

The Jordan Maroon Mity Mites finished the regular season with a 27-7 victory over Bingham Black.

They face Riverton Silver, who they previously defeated 34-0, in the first round of the playoffs on Saturday.




Parting thought:

“Politics is when people chose their words and actions based on how they want others to react rather than based on what they really think.” ~ Patrick Lencioni
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May 22, 2013 | 10791 views | 0 0 comments | 1 1 recommendations | email to a friend | print

Salt Lake Tribune

Jason Chaffetz and Curt Oda: Guns at airports

Editorial: Water at risk: Fracking rules should protect supply

Editorial: It's about money: Utah needs top-tier college chiefs

Wilde declares candidacy for Murray mayor

Study: Salt Lake City has highest rate of gay parents in U.S.

Dreamers press Senate panel on immigration bill

Veterans push child identity protection in immigration bill

West Jordan City Council to discuss full-time pay for mayor

Utah governor: Grand bargain and state taking fed lands 'complementary'

Senate panel OKs landmark immigration bill with Hatch on board

IRS lied by omission, Hatch said

Salt Lake County set to create 'mutual commitment registry'

WVC approves changes to police review board

Sen. Mike Lee rents house from friend who bought his home

Tensions mount as Salt Lake school board talks tax hike

Deseret News

Op-ed: UDOT listened, made a good choice

Richard Davis: Abortion laws should keep up with advances

Timothy R. Clark: Real job creation requires finding ways to make people curious

Salt Lake City has highest rate of same-sex couples raising kids

Charity care offered as alternative to Medicaid expansion

Doug Robinson: Memo to the government: Feel free to spy on me

Ordinance would offer 'second chance' instead of jail for traffic offense

Gov. Gary Herbert tells Washington committee: Let us manage our land

Couples registry gets preliminary nod from Salt Lake County Council

Other

Logan's councilman Quayle says he won't run again (Logan Herald Journal)

Locals protest IRS targeting of tea party (Daily Herald)

Provo council gives mayor a $20K salary adjustment (Daily Herald)

Henry Glasheen, Basin Republican, ends leadership bid in state party (Park Record)

New Republican leader wants a GOP sweep in Summit County (Park Record)

Op-ed: Punt, pass or kick on gay marriage? (Standard-Examiner)

Op-ed: Economics and politics of federal debt-growth controversy (Standard-Examiner)

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