Bryan Schott's Political BS - 100 Predictions for November 6
by Bryan Schott
10/30/2012 | 2162 views | 0 0 comments | 4 4 recommendations | email to a friend | print
With one week to go until the election, I take a stab at trying to predict the outcome of every major race in Utah. That's 100 predictions in one column.

I based my predictions on the data available, the opinons of a number of veteran political observers and my own gut feeling. If a race is expected to be close, I generally assumed the higher turnout because of Mitt Romney's presence on the ballot would favor the Republican candidate.

Some highlights:

--Republicans win all the statewide races, including U.S. Senate.

--Mia Love will benefit from Mitt Romney’s presence on the ticket, beating Jim Matheson in a close race.

--Ben McAdams wins a very close race for Salt Lake County Mayor. I’m thinking he gets the victory by less than 1,500 votes.

--Luz Robles gets the lone Democratic win in the Senate, dropping their numbers to just 5 in that body.

--Increased Republican turnout will claim Democrats Carol Spackman Moss, Janice Fisher and Marie Poulson. Tim Cosgrove and Patrice Arent will barely survive strong challenges in their re-election bids. I don’t forsee any Republican pickups. Democrats will drop to just 12 seats in the House.

Here are my full predictions.

Bryan Schott's 2012 Election Predictions




Inside little league football:

The Jordan Maroon Mity Mites finished the regular season with a 27-7 victory over Bingham Black.

They face Riverton Silver, who they previously defeated 34-0, in the first round of the playoffs on Saturday.




Parting thought:

“Politics is when people chose their words and actions based on how they want others to react rather than based on what they really think.” ~ Patrick Lencioni
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Ten Things You Need to Know for Friday
by Bryan Schott
May 24, 2013 | 4985 views | 0 0 comments | 2 2 recommendations | email to a friend | print
Countdown: There are 166 days to the 2013 municipal elections, 249 days until the start of the 2014 Legislature, 525 days until the 2014 midterm elections and 962 days until the 2016 Iowa Caucuses. 

An analysis says expanding Medicaid coverage will save Utah more than $130 million and would give health insurance to 123,000 residents [Tribune].

A new report ranks Utah #1 for economic outlook next year [Utah Policy, Tribune].

House Majority Leader Brad Dee goes on a European vacation with three lobbyists, but Dee insists the trip was above board because everybody paid their own way and they didn’t discuss politics [Tribune].

Former Attorney General Mark Shurtleff is caught on tape offering to get $2 million for Utah Businessman Darl McBride if he would shut down a website critical of another Utah businessman. That money was to come from a third Utah businessman who was in trouble with the Attorney General’s office [Tribune].

Former Legislator and current blogger Holly Richardson says she’s had enough with the “culture of corruption” permeating the Attorney General’s office [Holly on the Hill].

Sen. Orrin Hatch wants to hear from Utahns who think they have been inappropriately targeted by the IRS as part of his investigation into misconduct by the agency [Tribune].

Kennecott lays off 100 workers because of the massive landslide at their Bingham Canyon Mine [Tribune, Deseret News].

The Boy Scouts vote to allow gay members in their ranks [Deseret News].

Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman launches a new political action committee to support Republicans who share his point of view [Tribune].

Gov. Gary Herbert says he is confident the state can work out a deal to avoid taxing the electricity used by the new National Security Agency data center at Camp Williams [Tribune].
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