Poll analysis: Salt Lake City voters see Mendenhall as slightly more liberal than Escamilla


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Salt Lake City voters see Erin Mendenhall as slightly more liberal than Luz Escamilla according to a new Utah Political Trends survey.

Voters were asked about the political leanings of Mendenhall, Escamilla and themselves in a poll from UtahPolicy.com and Y2 Analytics. They found that more than half of voters in Utah’s capital city call themselves liberals, while just over 20% say they’re conservative.

How those voters see themselves aligns quite well with their perception of the ideology of both of the candidates for Mayor in Tuesday’s election.

20191104 QIDEOLOGY

When asked how they see the political views of Mendenhall and Escamilla, 56% of voters say Mendenhall is liberal, while 51% said the same of Escamilla. More voters felt Mendenhall was “strongly” liberal, while perceptions of Escamilla’s political leanings skew more moderate or conservative.

  • 16% of voters said Mendenhall was “strongly” liberal, while 11% said the same about Escamilla.
  • 40% felt both Mendenhall and Escamilla were “moderately” liberal.
  • 16% of voters said Escamilla was “middle of the road.” 13% said that about Mendenhall.
  • 12% felt Escamilla was “moderately” conservative and 2% said she was “strongly” conservative. 9% of city voters said Mendenhall was “moderately” conservative, while only 1% said she was “strongly” conservative.
  • 21% of voters did not know about Mendenhall’s political ideology, while 20% had no opinion about Escamilla.

Salt Lake City is seen as an island of blue in the middle of red, conservative Utah. By a 2-1 margin, voters in the city see themselves as more liberal than conservative.

  • 24% describe themselves as “strongly” liberal.
  • A third, 33%, say they are “moderately” liberal.
  • 22% see their political views as “middle of the road.”
  • 21% of the city’s residents say they are conservative, with 15% being “moderately” conservative and 6% “strongly” conservative.

The same Utah Political Trends survey gave Mendenhall a double-digit lead over Escamilla. In a straight-up head-to-head question, Mendenhall led Escamilla by 13-points, with 20% of voters saying undecided. When those undecided voters were pushed to pick a candidate to support, Mendenhall’s lead over Escamilla dipped slightly to just 10-points.

The survey was conducted among 751 registered voters in Salt Lake City from October 16-22, 2019. It has a margin of error +/- 3.6 percent.