Poll: More than 1/4 of Utahns Think Hillary Clinton Will Win in 2016

hillary clinton 9251306 2 4Maybe it’s because of the unsettled nature of the race for the GOP presidential nomination. Maybe it’s because Hillary Clinton is a clear frontrunner on the Democratic side. But, a little more than 1/4 of Utahns think Clinton is the most likely 2016 candidate to win the White House this year.

A UtahPolicy.com survey conducted by Dan Jones & Associates asked 622 Utahns which person in the entire presidential field they thought would be elected president in 2016. 28% of Utahns said former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had the best chance to win. Donald Trump was the next closest candidate at 11%, followed by Ted Cruz with 8% and Marco Rubio, who has 7% support. Brain surgeon Ben Carson got 5% and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders got 4%. Fully 1/3 of Utahns said they did not know who was most likely to win.
Utahns gave zero chance Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Martin O’Malley and Rick Santorum.
Jeb Bush, who is favored by some prominent Utah politicians, could only muster 2%, while Rand Paul got a paltry 1%.

Both men and women in Utah picked Clinton as the eventual winner, with 28% of men and 27% of women giving her the nod. 12% of men said Donald Trump was the most likely to win and 10% said Ted Cruz.
10% of women like Donald Trump to win while 6% say Cruz and 5% picked Carson.
27% of men and 39% of women said they didn’t know who would win this year.

Not surprisingly, Utah’s Democrats are solidly behind Clinton, with 64% of the state’s minority party sure she will prevail this November. 11% said Bernie Sanders and 15% replied they don’t know. Donald Trump scored the highest among Democrats with 4%.
Utah’s Republicans are much more unsettled, with 17% picking Clinton and 13% behind Trump. Cruz and Rubio get 10% each. 37% said they were undecided.

About a third of independents in Utah say Clinton is the favorite this year. 9% pick Trump and 8% say Cruz. 34% are undecided.
The Utah Republican and Democratic parties hold their presidential caucus and preference poll on March 22 of this year to divide up delegates for the 2016 nominating conventions among candidates.
The survey was conducted December 8-14, 2015. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.93%.