There’s nearly zero chance that Utah Democrats will break the Republican supermajorities on Utah’s Capitol Hill, but there are 11 races you should keep your eye on election night.
We analyzed the partisan voter breakdown for each district provided to UtahPolicy.com by L2, a political data organization. You’ll notice their numbers are different from the Utah state voter file, because the names and addresses are scrubbed against a number of databases including national change of address and social security to make sure those voters are still alive or living where they say they are, which provides for much more accurate numbers.
We picked 11 Utah legislative races (10 House, one Senate) that we felt could be close contests this year. Some are rematches from 2014. Others are open seats or are targeted by one or both parties.
