Bernie Sanders supporters helped put Donald Trump in the White House

A new analysis shows voters who backed Bernie Sanders during the presidential primaries pushed Donald Trump over the finish line in three critical states that gave Trump his electoral college victory in 2016.

Three researchers writing in the Guide to the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Survey found 12% of voters who supported Bernie Sanders switched their vote to Donald Trump. That was more than enough to give Trump his margin of victory in the three states that ultimately put him in the White House.

From Political Wire

 

  • In Wisconsin, roughly 51K Sanders voters backed Trump in a state he won by just 22K votes.
  • In Michigan, roughly 47K Sanders voters backed Trump in a state he won by just 10K votes.
  • In Pennsylvania, roughly 116K Sanders voters backed Trump in a state he won by just 44K votes.

 

There do not seem to be clear issue differences between the Sanders voters who backed Clinton and those who defected to Trump. For instance, opposition to the Trans Pacific Partnership trade agreement was roughly the same for both groups of voters.

 

But there does appear to be a racial component as the defectors are much more likely to disagree that whites are advantaged in the United States.