Situational awareness – August 17, 2020

Good Monday morning from Salt Lake City

State of the presidential race

With less than 3 months to go until Election Day, here’s where the various presidential race projections stand as of today:

Princeton Election Consortium: 93 percent probability Biden wins. Electoral votes – Biden 356, Trump 182

Economist: 89 percent probability Biden wins. Electoral votes – Biden 350, Trump 188.

FiveThirtyEight: 72 percent probability Biden wins. Electoral votes – Biden 325, Trump 213.


3 days to the 6th special session (8/20/2020)

38 days to the 1st Congressional District debate (9/24/2020)

43 days to the Utah gubernatorial debate (9/28/2020)

45 days to the Utah Attorney General debate (10/01/2020)

51 days to the Vice Presidential debate at the University of Utah (10/07/2020)

56 days to the 4th Congressional District debate (10/12/2020)

59 days to the 3rd Congressional District debate (10/15/2020)

63 days to the 2nd Congressional District debate (10/19/2020)

78 days to the 2020 election (11/3/2020)

156 days to inauguration day (01/20/2021)

161 days to the start of the 2021 Utah Legislature (1/25/2021)

Here are the stories you need to pay attention to this morning:

  • The Democratic National Convention begins tonight. 
  • Democrats heading back to Washington to block Postal Service changes. 
  • The race in Utah’s 4th Congressional District shifts toward the GOP.


Ten political entities legally share sovereignty within the boundaries of the State of Utah. Utah and the United States are two of the ten. Name four of the remaining eight entities.

The remaining eight are:

  • Confederated Tribes of Goshute Indians
  • Navajo Nation
  • Northern Ute Tribe
  • Northwestern Band of Shoshone
  • Paiute Indian Tribe of Utah
  • San Juan Southern Paiute
  • Skull Valley Band of Goshute
  • White Mesa Band of the Ute Mountain Ute

Congratulations to Charlie Roberts who was selected at random from all of the correct answers. As a bonus, Charlie points out there’s one more entity we forgot. The Republic of Zaqistant, a micronation in Box Elder County. It was created in 2005 by self-declared president Zaq Landsberg.

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