Here are my predictions for those races.
Please note these are just predictions, not endorsements.
I don’t expect too many surprises as off-year elections have low turnout, which tends to favor Republicans.
The race in Utah’s 4th Congressional District is a tight one, but Republican Mia Love will likely win by 3-4 percentage points. Democrat Doug Owens was closing in the final days of the race, but he will run out of time.
I see Democrats coming away with a net gain of 1 seat in the Utah Legislature. The Senate makeup will remain the same with 5 Democrats and 24 Republicans, but the House will be 60 Republicans and 15 Democrats.
Republican Sophia DiCaro should knock off longtime Democrat Larry Wiley in West Valley for the lone GOP pickup this year. However, Democrats Diane Lewis and Brad King will win seats currently held by Republicans.
Now, without further ado, here are my picks for the 2014 election.
Race |
Winner |
Attorney General |
Sean Reyes (R) |
Congressional District 1 |
Rob Bishop (R) |
Congressional District 2 |
Chris Stewart (R) |
Congressional District 3 |
Jason Chaffetz (R) |
Congressional District 4 |
Mia Love (R) |
Senate 2 |
Jim Dabakis (D) |
Senate 3 |
Gene Davis (D) |
Senate 4 |
Jani Iwamoto (D) |
Senate 5 |
Karen Mayne (D) |
Senate 9 |
Wayne Niederhauser (R) |
Senate 11 |
Howard Stephenson (R) |
Senate 12 |
Daniel Thatcher (R) |
Senate 15 |
Margaret Dayton (R) |
Senate 17 |
Peter Knudson (R) |
Senate 18 |
Ann Millner (R) |
Senate 21 |
Jerry Stevenson (R) |
Senate 22 |
Stuart Adams (R) |
Senate 26 |
Kevin Van Tassell (R) |
Senate 28 |
Evan Vickers (R) |
House 1 |
Scott Sandall (R) |
House 2 |
David Lifferth (R) |
House 3 |
Jack Draxler (R) |
House 4 |
Edward Redd (R) |
House 5 |
Curt Webb (R) |
House 6 |
Jake Anderegg (R) |
House 7 |
Justin Fawson (R) |
House 8 |
Gage Froerer (R) |
House 9 |
Jeremy Peterson (R) |
House 10 |
Dixon Pitcher (R) |
House 11 |
Brad Dee (R) |
House 12 |
Mike Schultz (R) |
House 13 |
Paul Ray (R) |
House 14 |
Curtis Oda (R) |
House 15 |
Brad Wilson (R) |
House 16 |
Steve Handy (R) |
House 17 |
Stewart Barlow (R) |
House 18 |
Timothy Hawkes (R) |
House 19 |
Raymond Ward (R) |
House 20 |
Becky Edwards (R) |
House 21 |
Doug Sagers (R) |
House 22 |
Susan Duckworth (D) |
House 23 |
Sandra Hollins (D) |
House 24 |
Rebecca Chavez-Houck (D) |
House 25 |
Joel Briscoe (D) |
House 26 |
Angela Romero (D) |
House 27 |
Mike Kennedy (R) |
House 28 |
Brian King (D) |
House 29 |
Lee Perry (R) |
House 30 |
Michael Lee (D) |
House 31 |
Sophia DiCaro (R) (Republican pick-up) |
House 32 |
LaVar Christensen (R) |
House 33 |
Craig Hall (R) |
House 34 |
Johnny Anderson (R) |
House 35 |
Mark Wheatley (D) |
House 36 |
Patrice Arent (D) |
House 37 |
Carol Spackman Moss (D) |
House 38 |
Eric Hutchings (R) |
House 39 |
Jim Dunnigan (R) |
House 40 |
Justin Miller (D) |
House 41 |
Dan McCay (R) |
House 42 |
Kim Coleman (R) |
House 43 |
Diane Lewis (D) (Democratic pick-up) |
House 44 |
Christine Passey (D) |
House 45 |
Steve Eliason (R) |
House 46 |
Marie Poulson (D) |
House 47 |
Ken Ivory (R) |
House 48 |
Keven Stratton (R) |
House 49 |
Robert Spendlove (R) |
House 50 |
Rich Cunningham (R) |
House 51 |
Greg Hughes (R) |
House 52 |
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